Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 22.563027 25.612870 28.943843 32.855300 37.327072 42.285064 48.206156
2025-01-19 17.440745 21.435144 26.172893 32.221043 39.758043 48.868423 60.757862
2025-01-26 14.807696 19.418273 25.269207 33.272206 43.987072 57.911636 77.500592
2025-02-02 13.122331 18.173972 24.961234 34.806447 48.822695 68.210420 97.321898
2025-02-09 11.531583 16.734015 24.074391 35.274975 52.092848 76.656322 115.710772
2025-02-16 9.976873 15.076875 22.585852 34.562863 53.408430 82.288479 130.600680
2025-02-23 8.766325 13.738674 21.345790 33.975361 54.710542 87.909671 146.096580
2025-03-02 7.806661 12.648162 20.319450 33.533102 56.094413 93.712968 162.567404
2025-03-09 7.089167 11.846807 19.635969 33.523354 58.125002 100.746265 182.030547
2025-03-16 6.457816 11.106608 18.952905 33.400055 59.892542 107.471928 201.804020
2025-03-23 6.134169 10.850563 19.051743 34.637546 64.206984 119.236003 232.624099
2025-03-30 5.687182 10.322379 18.605979 34.813918 66.545753 127.579635 257.934054
2025-04-06 5.117425 9.525164 17.616241 33.907287 66.805293 132.179364 276.862422
2025-04-13 4.673997 8.916727 16.912041 33.469492 67.941660 138.686999 300.884443
2025-04-20 4.469358 8.743431 17.016911 34.651904 72.538406 152.919110 344.072097
2025-04-27 4.329299 8.680427 17.327595 36.289441 78.307404 170.433824 397.622576
2025-05-04 4.084320 8.376934 17.117360 36.793330 81.664059 183.101989 441.884243
2025-05-11 3.747538 7.846468 16.379277 36.054403 82.120284 189.230902 471.171209
2025-05-18 3.456591 7.383051 15.733714 35.442291 82.783059 195.918001 502.971454
2025-05-25 3.206650 6.983011 15.183277 34.980723 83.738591 203.429905 538.190100
2025-06-01 3.014599 6.691780 14.843088 34.970846 85.792108 213.938039 583.302718
2025-06-08 2.830687 6.400398 14.472224 34.842060 87.528749 223.877600 628.573103
2025-06-15 2.757549 6.357399 14.669941 36.135954 93.095648 244.636427 708.711664